ATP tennis predict — Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoe

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Franco Ribero

Argentina

35.13%

Radu Mihai Papoe

Romania

64.87%

Average Odds

8.70 / 1.05

Market probability

10.77% / 89.23%

Why This Prediction?

Radu Mihai Papoe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1609 vs 1495), a higher Elo rating (1573 vs 1477) and a stronger return game (49.1% vs 40.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1476.9 Elo 1572.8

1495.3 Elo (surface) 1609.5

28 Wins (Challenger) 20

28 Wins (surface) 17

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 1.341

733 Rank 352

26.9 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Ribero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Radu Mihai Papoe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Ribero Radu Mihai Papoe

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.5%

59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Ribero Radu Mihai Papoe

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

40.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Ribero 0 – 0 Radu Mihai Papoe

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Radu Mihai Papoe #352

Franco Ribero #733

6-4 1-6 6-3

1 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

77 Service Points 83

47 First Serve In 55

23 First Serve Won 31

18 Second Serve Won 13

1 Break Points Saved 8

7 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 8.7

Franco Ribero vs Radu Mihai Papoe — Prediction