ATP tennis predict — Franco Ribero vs Mykyta Mashtakov

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:35

Predicted probability

Franco Ribero

Argentina

83.18%

Mykyta Mashtakov

Ukraine

16.82%

Average Odds

2.13 / 1.64

Market probability

43.50% / 56.50%

Why This Prediction?

Franco Ribero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1460 vs 1327), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1479 vs 1330) and more career match wins (28 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1459.9 Elo 1326.8

1479.1 Elo (surface) 1330.3

28 Wins (Challenger) 1

28 Wins (surface) 1

9 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.991 Dominance ratio 0.818

733 Rank 654

26.9 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Ribero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Mykyta Mashtakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Ribero Mykyta Mashtakov

1st Serve In %

—

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

51.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

36.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.3%

66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.5%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Ribero Mykyta Mashtakov

Break Points Saved %

—

46.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.8%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Ribero 0 – 0 Mykyta Mashtakov

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Mykyta Mashtakov #654

Franco Ribero #733

7-6 6-4

6 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 3

78 Service Points 80

56 First Serve In 52

39 First Serve Won 39

9 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Franco Ribero vs Mykyta Mashtakov — Prediction