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Franco Ribero vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez — Prediction

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Franco Ribero

Argentina

38.80%

Average Odds

4.20  /  1.15

Market probability

21.50%  /  78.50%

Why This Prediction?

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1528 vs 1480), a higher Elo rating (1515 vs 1467) and a stronger serve (63.6% vs 55.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1467.5 Elo 1515.2
1480.4 Elo (surface) 1527.9
29 Wins (Challenger) 37
29 Wins (surface) 37
7 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.890 Dominance ratio 1.140
707 Rank 538
27.1 Age 27.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Ribero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Ribero Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.3%
68.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.5%
72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%
37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%
48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Ribero Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

51.8%
69.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
54.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Ribero and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez have never played each other.

Franco Ribero — Last 10

L W L L L W W L W L

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez — Last 10

L W W L W W L L L W