ATP tennis predict — Franco Agamenone vs Matej Dodig

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Franco Agamenone

Italy

27.12%

Matej Dodig

Croatia

72.88%

Average Odds

3.31 / 1.30

Market probability

28.20% / 71.80%

Why This Prediction?

Matej Dodig is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1727 vs 1566), a higher Elo rating (1698 vs 1566) and a stronger serve (62.5% vs 54.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1566.0 Elo 1697.6

1566.1 Elo (surface) 1727.3

153 Wins (Challenger) 82

140 Wins (surface) 62

6 Last 15 form 12

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.943 Dominance ratio 0.924

291 Rank 254

33.4 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Agamenone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Matej Dodig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Agamenone Matej Dodig

1st Serve In %

72.3%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.3%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.2%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.8%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Agamenone Matej Dodig

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

25.4%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.4%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Agamenone 1 – 0 Matej Dodig

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Matej Dodig #254

Franco Agamenone #291

6-3 4-0

1 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 2

51 Service Points 30

33 First Serve In 19

16 First Serve Won 17

7 Second Serve Won 6

5 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Clay Skopje CH · 2025-05-19

Q2

Franco Agamenone #485

Matej Dodig #352

7-6(5) 2-6 6-0

2 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 6

92 Service Points 95

71 First Serve In 52

50 First Serve Won 34

5 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Franco Agamenone vs Matej Dodig — Prediction