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Franco Agamenone vs John Sperle — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Franco Agamenone

Italy

52.34%

John Sperle

Germany

47.66%

Average Odds

1.48  /  2.51

Market probability

62.91%  /  37.09%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1596.4 Elo 1520.6
1586.6 Elo (surface) 1525.5
154 Wins (Challenger) 17
141 Wins (surface) 15
4 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.046 Dominance ratio 1.012
375 Rank 672
33.4 Age 24.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Franco Agamenone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

John Sperle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Agamenone John Sperle

1st Serve In %

72.3%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.3%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.30
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%
63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%
63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%
49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%
36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%
48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.14
0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Franco Agamenone John Sperle

Break Points Saved %

62.7%
—

Break Points Converted %

25.4%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%
43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Franco Agamenone and John Sperle have never played each other.

Franco Agamenone — Last 10

W L L L L W L L L L

John Sperle — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L W