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Francisco Comesana vs Juan Estevez — Prediction

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Francisco Comesana

Argentina

73.32%

Juan Estevez

Argentina

26.68%

Average Odds

1.16  /  4.66

Market probability

80.07%  /  19.93%

Why This Prediction?

Francisco Comesana is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1792 vs 1513), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1802 vs 1517) and more wins on clay courts (28 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1792.1 Elo 1512.7
1801.6 Elo (surface) 1516.6
109 Wins (Challenger) 17
104 Wins (surface) 17
8 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.048 Dominance ratio 1.110
126 Rank 349
26.0 Age 21.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francisco Comesana

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Juan Estevez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Comesana Juan Estevez

1st Serve In %

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
70.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%
64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%
45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.9%
37.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Comesana Juan Estevez

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%
47.3%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%
37.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francisco Comesana 00 Juan Estevez

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-22
6-1 4-6 6-2
5 Aces 0
4 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
45 First Serve Won 27
11 Second Serve Won 12
7 Break Points Saved 4
9 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 4.7

Francisco Comesana — Last 10

W L L W L L L W W L

Juan Estevez — Last 10

L L L W L L L W W W