ATP tennis predict — Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · R16 23:30

Predicted probability

Francisco Comesana

Argentina

73.71%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Uruguay

26.29%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.88

Market probability

67.92% / 32.08%

Why This Prediction?

Francisco Comesana is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1796 vs 1617), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1806 vs 1644) and a stronger serve (68.0% vs 51.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1796.4 Elo 1616.6

1806.2 Elo (surface) 1644.1

110 Wins (Challenger) 21

105 Wins (surface) 21

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.048 Dominance ratio 1.115

126 Rank 384

26.0 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francisco Comesana

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-17.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Comesana Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

1st Serve In %

62.6%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

52.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

41.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

35.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

60.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.04

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.9%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Comesana Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

47.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

53.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francisco Comesana and Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo have never played each other.

Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo — Prediction