ATP tennis predict — Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Francisco Comesana

Argentina

24.90%

Flavio Cobolli

Italy

75.10%

Average Odds

4.45 / 1.21

Market probability

21.38% / 78.62%

Why This Prediction?

Flavio Cobolli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1680 vs 1457), a higher Elo rating (1822 vs 1637) and more wins on hard courts (20 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1636.5 Elo 1822.0

1457.3 Elo (surface) 1679.9

50 Wins 134

20 Wins (surface) 67

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.189 Dominance ratio 1.046

119 Rank 6

25.9 Age 24.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francisco Comesana

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Flavio Cobolli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Comesana Flavio Cobolli

1st Serve In %

62.6%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.3%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.1%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%

52.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.9%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Comesana Flavio Cobolli

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

67.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francisco Comesana 0 – 1 Flavio Cobolli

Hard US Open · 2026-09-01

1. round

Flavio Cobolli #6

Francisco Comesana #119

3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-4

12 Aces 7

7 Double Faults 5

155 Service Points 162

89 First Serve In 88

58 First Serve Won 59

37 Second Serve Won 37

12 Break Points Saved 13

18 Break Points Faced 19

43 Winners 40

45 Unforced Errors 53

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Clay Monte Carlo Masters · 2026-04-05

R64

Flavio Cobolli #16

Francisco Comesana #99

7-5 2-6 6-3

2 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 3

82 Service Points 104

45 First Serve In 60

29 First Serve Won 37

19 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 7

12 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli — Prediction