ATP tennis predict — Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyer

ATP Hard Los Cabos · R16

Predicted probability

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

62.07%

Tristan Boyer

USA

37.93%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.76

Market probability

65.71% / 34.29%

Why This Prediction?

Francisco Cerundolo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1901 vs 1767), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1769 vs 1591) and a stronger return game (40.3% vs 38.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1901.2 Elo 1767.4

1769.5 Elo (surface) 1591.0

186 Wins 24

64 Wins (surface) 18

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.899 Dominance ratio 1.164

20 Rank 162

28.0 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francisco Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Cerundolo Tristan Boyer

1st Serve In %

53.9%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Cerundolo Tristan Boyer

Break Points Saved %

65.2%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.0%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francisco Cerundolo 0 – 0 Tristan Boyer

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-30

R16

Francisco Cerundolo #20

Tristan Boyer #162

6-7 4-3

7 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 4

78 Service Points 69

44 First Serve In 32

28 First Serve Won 23

17 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 9

17 Winners 17

37 Unforced Errors 36

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Francisco Cerundolo vs Tristan Boyer — Prediction