ATP tennis predict — Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

53.61%

Roman Safiullin

Russia

46.39%

Average Odds

1.86 / 1.92

Market probability

50.79% / 49.21%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

2027.3 Elo 1968.8

1954.5 Elo (surface) 1866.5

192 Wins 109

70 Wins (surface) 69

8 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.869 Dominance ratio 1.185

20 Rank 79

28.2 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francisco Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Roman Safiullin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Cerundolo Roman Safiullin

1st Serve In %

51.0%

68.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

59.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

35.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Cerundolo Roman Safiullin

Break Points Saved %

67.3%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.0%

56.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francisco Cerundolo 1 – 1 Roman Safiullin

Hard Belgrade · 2024-11-04

R16

Francisco Cerundolo #29

Roman Safiullin #60

6-4 6-4

6 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 1

59 Service Points 63

33 First Serve In 42

28 First Serve Won 29

13 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Wimbledon · 2024-07-01

R128

Roman Safiullin #44

Francisco Cerundolo #30

6-7(5) 3-6 7-5 6-3 6-4

11 Aces 13

3 Double Faults 8

148 Service Points 179

100 First Serve In 109

76 First Serve Won 78

29 Second Serve Won 33

7 Break Points Saved 14

10 Break Points Faced 19