ATP tennis predict — Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

Grand Slam Hard US Open · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

60.68%

Alexander Blockx

Belgium

39.32%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.60

Market probability

40.61% / 59.39%

Why This Prediction?

Francisco Cerundolo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1775 vs 1605), a higher Elo rating (1894 vs 1770) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1893.8 Elo 1769.9

1775.2 Elo (surface) 1605.2

190 Wins 44

68 Wins (surface) 23

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.869 Dominance ratio 1.122

25 Rank 34

28.1 Age 21.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francisco Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alexander Blockx

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Cerundolo Alexander Blockx

1st Serve In %

53.9%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

77.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.0%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

75.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francisco Cerundolo Alexander Blockx

Break Points Saved %

65.2%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.0%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.0%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francisco Cerundolo 0 – 1 Alexander Blockx

Hard US Open · 2026-09-07

R16

Alexander Blockx #34

Francisco Cerundolo #25

6-3 4-6 7-5 7-5

5 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 7

132 Service Points 138

79 First Serve In 77

57 First Serve Won 57

24 Second Serve Won 29

6 Break Points Saved 14

12 Break Points Faced 17

34 Winners 36

51 Unforced Errors 44

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Madrid Masters · 2026-04-22

R16

Alexander Blockx #69

Francisco Cerundolo #20

7-6(8) 6-2

6 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 2

78 Service Points 74

47 First Serve In 44

38 First Serve Won 35

18 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx — Prediction