ATP tennis predict — Francesco Passaro vs Yanaki Milev

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · SF 17:30

Predicted probability

Francesco Passaro

Italy

57.95%

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

42.05%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.55

Market probability

79.55% / 20.45%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Passaro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1677), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1736 vs 1676) and more wins on clay courts (107 vs 25).

Player Comparison

1766.7 Elo 1677.4

1736.0 Elo (surface) 1675.7

125 Wins (Challenger) 26

107 Wins (surface) 25

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.746 Dominance ratio 1.019

229 Rank 619

25.8 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Passaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Passaro Yanaki Milev

1st Serve In %

60.4%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

67.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

57.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.6%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

32.1%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Passaro Yanaki Milev

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%

37.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Passaro and Yanaki Milev have never played each other.

Francesco Passaro vs Yanaki Milev — Prediction