ATP tennis predict — Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · QF 19:00

Predicted probability

Francesco Maestrelli

Italy

54.73%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

45.27%

Average Odds

2.49 / 1.50

Market probability

37.59% / 62.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1662.4 Elo 1663.3

1730.6 Elo (surface) 1659.2

136 Wins (Challenger) 61

56 Wins (surface) 41

6 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.080 Dominance ratio 0.956

169 Rank 332

23.7 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Maestrelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Maestrelli Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

1st Serve In %

64.4%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.6%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.7%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Maestrelli Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Maestrelli 1 – 0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #332

Francesco Maestrelli #169

6-0 6-3

2 Aces 8

0 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

20 First Serve Won 27

3 Second Serve Won 5

1 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Lyon CH · 2025-11-10

R32

Francesco Maestrelli #158

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #195

6-2 1-6 6-1

8 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

70 Service Points 63

46 First Serve In 46

28 First Serve Won 25

17 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Prediction