ATP tennis predict — Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Ficovich

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Francesco Maestrelli

Italy

58.54%

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Argentina

41.46%

Average Odds

1.39 / 2.82

Market probability

66.98% / 33.02%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Maestrelli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1529 vs 1492), a stronger serve (60.9% vs 56.4% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (8 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1528.9 Elo 1491.5

1483.0 Elo (surface) 1499.0

132 Wins (Challenger) 191

52 Wins (surface) 49

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.039 Dominance ratio 0.976

168 Rank 379

23.7 Age 29.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Maestrelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Maestrelli Juan Pablo Ficovich

1st Serve In %

64.4%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.6%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.7%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Maestrelli Juan Pablo Ficovich

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Maestrelli 0 – 0 Juan Pablo Ficovich

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Francesco Maestrelli #168

Juan Pablo Ficovich #379

6-2 6-2

3 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

55 Service Points 53

30 First Serve In 38

25 First Serve Won 19

12 Second Serve Won 7

7 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Ficovich — Prediction