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Francesco Forti vs Zdenek Kolar — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Francesco Forti

Italy

37.09%

Zdenek Kolar

Czech Republic

62.91%

Average Odds

1.80  /  1.90

Market probability

51.35%  /  48.65%

Why This Prediction?

Zdenek Kolar is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (193 vs 84), a stronger return game (45.9% vs 40.2% of return points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.14 vs 0.28).

Player Comparison

1643.2 Elo 1641.0
1640.6 Elo (surface) 1653.3
102 Wins (Challenger) 274
84 Wins (surface) 193
9 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 2
1.048 Dominance ratio 1.137
336 Rank 196
27.2 Age 30.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–6L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Zdenek Kolar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–7L · 22.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Zdenek Kolar

1st Serve In %

56.8%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%
66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.1%
52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%
28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%
45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%
63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.2%
64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.2%
58.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.2%
43.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
61.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Zdenek Kolar

Break Points Saved %

40.0%
52.4%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%
33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.5%
61.8%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%
51.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Forti 0 – 2 Zdenek Kolar

Clay Barletta CH · 2022-04-11
6-2 6-0
0 Aces 0
3 Double Faults 4
41 Service Points 46
28 First Serve In 30
20 First Serve Won 16
9 Second Serve Won 4
0 Break Points Saved 5
0 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Cordenons CH · 2018-08-13
6-1 6-4
2 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 3
49 Service Points 48
30 First Serve In 30
19 First Serve Won 10
10 Second Serve Won 8
1 Break Points Saved 4
4 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Francesco Forti — Last 10

L L W W W L W L W W

Zdenek Kolar — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L L