ATP tennis predict — Francesco Forti vs Niccolo Ciavarella

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Francesco Forti

Italy

89.86%

Niccolo Ciavarella

Italy

10.14%

Average Odds

1.08 / 7.09

Market probability

86.78% / 13.22%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Forti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1572 vs 1369), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1592 vs 1369) and more career match wins (96 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1571.6 Elo 1368.6

1591.9 Elo (surface) 1369.4

96 Wins (Challenger) 0

78 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.036 Dominance ratio 0.801

367 Rank 1030

27.1 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Niccolo Ciavarella

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Niccolo Ciavarella

1st Serve In %

56.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

53.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

40.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.1%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Niccolo Ciavarella

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Forti 0 – 0 Niccolo Ciavarella

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Francesco Forti #367

Niccolo Ciavarella #1030

7-5 6-4

6 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 3

64 Service Points 87

37 First Serve In 44

28 First Serve Won 23

11 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.1

Francesco Forti vs Niccolo Ciavarella — Prediction