ATP tennis predict — Francesco Forti vs Mika Brunold

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Francesco Forti

Italy

24.15%

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

75.85%

Average Odds

2.90 / 1.37

Market probability

32.08% / 67.92%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Brunold is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1802 vs 1639), a higher Elo rating (1795 vs 1644) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.28).

Player Comparison

1643.7 Elo 1794.6

1639.0 Elo (surface) 1801.7

99 Wins (Challenger) 73

81 Wins (surface) 46

9 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.048 Dominance ratio 1.015

373 Rank 257

27.2 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Mika Brunold

1st Serve In %

56.8%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.1%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

38.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.1%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Mika Brunold

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Forti 0 – 0 Mika Brunold

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Mika Brunold #257

Francesco Forti #373

6-2 6-2

0 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

13 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 5

2 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Francesco Forti vs Mika Brunold — Prediction