ATP tennis predict — Francesco Forti vs Jay Clarke

Challenger Clay Como challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Francesco Forti

Italy

51.80%

Jay Clarke

Great Britain

48.20%

Average Odds

1.90 / 1.82

Market probability

48.92% / 51.08%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1588.6 Elo 1545.3

1610.1 Elo (surface) 1573.9

96 Wins (Challenger) 156

78 Wins (surface) 54

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.034 Dominance ratio 1.029

367 Rank 242

27.1 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jay Clarke

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Jay Clarke

1st Serve In %

56.8%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.1%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.1%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Jay Clarke

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

63.7%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

44.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Forti 0 – 0 Jay Clarke

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Jay Clarke #242

Francesco Forti #367

6-2 6-4

4 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

52 Service Points 55

32 First Serve In 33

17 First Serve Won 24

8 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Francesco Forti vs Jay Clarke — Prediction