ATP tennis predict — Francesco Forti vs Giorgio Ricca

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Francesco Forti

Italy

89.36%

Giorgio Ricca

Italy

10.64%

Average Odds

1.03 / 9.24

Market probability

89.97% / 10.03%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Forti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1566 vs 1269), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1586 vs 1304) and more career match wins (94 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1566.5 Elo 1268.8

1586.4 Elo (surface) 1304.2

94 Wins (Challenger) 3

76 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.956 Dominance ratio 0.690

360 Rank -

27.1 Age 31.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Giorgio Ricca

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Giorgio Ricca

1st Serve In %

56.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

62.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

38.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.1%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Giorgio Ricca

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

48.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Forti 0 – 0 Giorgio Ricca

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Francesco Forti #367

Giorgio Ricca #-

6-1 6-1

5 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

37 Service Points 51

28 First Serve In 34

25 First Serve Won 17

4 Second Serve Won 5

2 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 9.2

Francesco Forti vs Giorgio Ricca — Prediction