ATP tennis predict — Francesco Forti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · SF 14:00

Predicted probability

Francesco Forti

Italy

32.09%

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

67.91%

Average Odds

2.54 / 1.48

Market probability

36.82% / 63.18%

Why This Prediction?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1750 vs 1671), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1767 vs 1670) and a stronger serve (72.5% vs 61.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1670.5 Elo 1750.2

1669.8 Elo (surface) 1766.8

102 Wins (Challenger) 28

84 Wins (surface) 26

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.048 Dominance ratio 1.626

357 Rank 386

27.2 Age 20.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Carlo Alberto Caniato

1st Serve In %

56.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.0%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.0%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

69.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.4%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Carlo Alberto Caniato

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

40.8%

64.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Forti and Carlo Alberto Caniato have never played each other.

Francesco Forti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato — Prediction