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Francesco Forti vs Alejandro Juan Mano — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.33  /  3.06

Market probability

69.70%  /  30.30%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Forti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1644 vs 1576), more career match wins (100 vs 3) and a higher Elo rating (1646 vs 1581).

Player Comparison

1646.5 Elo 1581.5
1644.5 Elo (surface) 1576.1
100 Wins (Challenger) 3
82 Wins (surface) 3
9 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.048 Dominance ratio 0.879
357 Rank 625
27.2 Age 21.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Francesco Forti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alejandro Juan Mano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Alejandro Juan Mano

1st Serve In %

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%
70.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%
51.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.1%
37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%
50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Francesco Forti Alejandro Juan Mano

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
45.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.6%
33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Francesco Forti and Alejandro Juan Mano have never played each other.

Francesco Forti — Last 10

W L W L W W L W W L

Alejandro Juan Mano — Last 6

W W W L L L