ATP tennis predict — Florian Broska vs Sergi Perez Contri

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Florian Broska

Germany

69.93%

Sergi Perez Contri

Spain

30.07%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.61

Market probability

64.44% / 35.56%

Why This Prediction?

Florian Broska is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1610 vs 1491), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1565 vs 1484) and a stronger serve (68.1% vs 57.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1610.5 Elo 1491.4

1565.1 Elo (surface) 1484.4

26 Wins (Challenger) 11

13 Wins (surface) 11

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.255 Dominance ratio 1.074

334 Rank 446

None Age 28.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Florian Broska

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Sergi Perez Contri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Sergi Perez Contri

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.6%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.4%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

37.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.54

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Sergi Perez Contri

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Florian Broska and Sergi Perez Contri have never played each other.

Florian Broska vs Sergi Perez Contri — Prediction