ATP tennis predict — Florian Broska vs Milos Karol

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Florian Broska

Germany

54.09%

Milos Karol

Slovakia

45.91%

Average Odds

1.72 / 2.02

Market probability

54.01% / 45.99%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1638.8 Elo 1590.2

1607.9 Elo (surface) 1561.7

28 Wins (Challenger) 52

15 Wins (surface) 26

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.255 Dominance ratio 0.955

334 Rank 583

None Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Florian Broska

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Milos Karol

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Milos Karol

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.2%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

76.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.2%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Milos Karol

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

53.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

28.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Florian Broska 0 – 1 Milos Karol

Hard Orleans CH · 2025-09-22

Q1

Milos Karol #358

Florian Broska #495

6-3 6-4

8 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

53 Service Points 52

27 First Serve In 36

25 First Serve Won 23

16 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Florian Broska vs Milos Karol — Prediction