ATP tennis predict — Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Florian Broska

Germany

35.09%

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

64.91%

Average Odds

2.75 / 1.41

Market probability

33.89% / 66.11%

Why This Prediction?

Lukas Neumayer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1724 vs 1585), a higher Elo rating (1722 vs 1629) and more wins on clay courts (9 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1629.0 Elo 1722.0

1585.2 Elo (surface) 1724.0

26 Wins (Challenger) 119

13 Wins (surface) 109

10 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.255 Dominance ratio 0.846

326 Rank 174

None Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Florian Broska

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Lukas Neumayer

1st Serve In %

—

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.9%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.2%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

33.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Lukas Neumayer

Break Points Saved %

—

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

52.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Florian Broska 1 – 0 Lukas Neumayer

Clay Poznan challenger · 2026-06-16

1. round

Florian Broska #382

Lukas Neumayer #165

3-6 6-1 6-4

8 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

84 Service Points 88

55 First Serve In 59

40 First Serve Won 36

15 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 6

41 Winners 18

41 Unforced Errors 34

5.5 Average Odds 1.1

Florian Broska vs Lukas Neumayer — Prediction