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Florian Broska vs Adrian Oetzbach — Prediction

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Florian Broska

Germany

78.95%

Adrian Oetzbach

Germany

21.05%

Average Odds

1.29  /  3.34

Market probability

72.14%  /  27.86%

Why This Prediction?

Florian Broska is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1610 vs 1387), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1565 vs 1394) and a stronger serve (68.1% vs 56.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1610.5 Elo 1387.0
1565.1 Elo (surface) 1393.7
26 Wins (Challenger) 14
13 Wins (surface) 12
9 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.255 Dominance ratio 0.817
334 Rank 554
None Age 29.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Florian Broska

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Adrian Oetzbach

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.6%
64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%
67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.4%
46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%
49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31
0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florian Broska Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

58.1%
52.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%
39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Florian Broska and Adrian Oetzbach have never played each other.

Florian Broska — Last 10

L L L L L W W W W W

Adrian Oetzbach — Last 10

L L W L L L L L W W