ATP tennis predict — Florent Bax vs Martin Borisiouk

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · R16 05:10

Predicted probability

Florent Bax

France

54.91%

Martin Borisiouk

Belarus

45.09%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.72

Market probability

45.74% / 54.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1559.9 Elo 1547.7

1563.5 Elo (surface) 1566.2

40 Wins (Challenger) 9

26 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.832 Dominance ratio 1.184

308 Rank 939

27.3 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Florent Bax

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Martin Borisiouk

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florent Bax Martin Borisiouk

1st Serve In %

74.4%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

85.2%

54.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.5%

43.8%

Aces per Service Game

1.00

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.71

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

75.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

60.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florent Bax Martin Borisiouk

Break Points Saved %

100.0%

28.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

72.9%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Florent Bax 0 – 0 Martin Borisiouk

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Florent Bax #308

Martin Borisiouk #939

6-3 7-6

9 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

30 First Serve Won 36

14 Second Serve Won 21

0 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Florent Bax vs Martin Borisiouk — Prediction