ATP tennis predict — Florent Bax vs Dan Added

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Florent Bax

France

47.35%

Dan Added

France

52.65%

Average Odds

2.27 / 1.58

Market probability

41.04% / 58.96%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1492.1 Elo 1511.1

1524.4 Elo (surface) 1545.1

35 Wins (Challenger) 84

21 Wins (surface) 72

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.184 Dominance ratio 0.854

250 Rank 223

27.1 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Florent Bax

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Dan Added

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florent Bax Dan Added

1st Serve In %

74.4%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

85.2%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

39.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.5%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

1.00

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.6%

37.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.4%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Florent Bax Dan Added

Break Points Saved %

100.0%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.9%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Florent Bax 0 – 0 Dan Added

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Florent Bax #250

Dan Added #223

6-2 6-1

1 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 2

49 Service Points 40

28 First Serve In 24

14 First Serve Won 21

7 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Florent Bax vs Dan Added — Prediction