ATP tennis predict — Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien

ATP Hard Laver Cup · - 14:00

Predicted probability

Flavio Cobolli

Italy

32.08%

Learner Tien

USA

67.92%

Average Odds

2.92 / 1.34

Market probability

31.46% / 68.54%

Why This Prediction?

Learner Tien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2033 vs 1924), more wins on hard courts (40 vs 20) and a higher Elo rating (2072 vs 2061).

Player Comparison

2061.0 Elo 2071.6

1924.4 Elo (surface) 2032.8

136 Wins 80

69 Wins (surface) 62

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.930 Dominance ratio 0.987

7 Rank 13

24.4 Age 20.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Flavio Cobolli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Learner Tien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Flavio Cobolli Learner Tien

1st Serve In %

58.0%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.7%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

54.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Flavio Cobolli Learner Tien

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.5%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

32.2%

40.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Flavio Cobolli 1 – 1 Learner Tien

Clay French Open · 2026-05-30

3. round

Flavio Cobolli #14

Learner Tien #18

6-2 6-2 6-3

7 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 7

67 Service Points 86

37 First Serve In 46

30 First Serve Won 26

17 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 13

28 Winners 10

33 Unforced Errors 44

1.6 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Beijing · 2025-09-25

R16

Learner Tien #52

Flavio Cobolli #25

6-3 6-2

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

59 Service Points 49

36 First Serve In 25

24 First Serve Won 12

12 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien — Prediction