ATP tennis predict — Filippo Romano vs Massimo Giunta

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Filippo Romano

Italy

66.68%

Massimo Giunta

Italy

33.32%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.88

Market probability

50.54% / 49.46%

Why This Prediction?

Filippo Romano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1556 vs 1421), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1445 vs 1317) and more wins on clay courts (16 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1555.5 Elo 1421.4

1444.9 Elo (surface) 1317.3

35 Wins (Challenger) 12

16 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.026 Dominance ratio 1.280

303 Rank 422

21.1 Age 22.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Massimo Giunta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Massimo Giunta

1st Serve In %

76.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

87.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

70.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

77.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Massimo Giunta

Break Points Saved %

—

Break Points Converted %

80.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

73.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

52.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filippo Romano 0 – 0 Massimo Giunta

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-10

1. round

Filippo Romano #303

Massimo Giunta #422

6-2 6-2

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Filippo Romano vs Massimo Giunta — Prediction