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Filippo Romano vs Kenny De Schepper — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Filippo Romano

Italy

73.52%

Kenny De Schepper

France

26.48%

Average Odds

1.42  /  2.67

Market probability

65.28%  /  34.72%

Why This Prediction?

Filippo Romano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1672 vs 1510), a stronger return game (40.7% vs 35.9% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1554 vs 1489).

Player Comparison

1553.7 Elo 1488.8
1671.7 Elo (surface) 1510.3
36 Wins (Challenger) 243
10 Wins (surface) 179
4 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.042 Dominance ratio 0.936
306 Rank 925
21.2 Age 39.3
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Kenny De Schepper

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Kenny De Schepper

1st Serve In %

76.7%
71.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

87.9%
67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

70.0%
53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%
28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

77.3%
44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%
67.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%
69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%
28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Kenny De Schepper

Break Points Saved %

—
62.8%

Break Points Converted %

80.0%
33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.4%
59.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%
51.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filippo Romano and Kenny De Schepper have never played each other.

Filippo Romano — Last 10

L L L L W L L L W L

Kenny De Schepper — Last 10

L W L L L L L W L L