ATP tennis predict — Filippo Romano vs Harry Wendelken

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Filippo Romano

Italy

38.76%

Harry Wendelken

Great Britain

61.24%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.64

Market probability

44.09% / 55.91%

Why This Prediction?

Harry Wendelken is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1735 vs 1571), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1735 vs 1692) and more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1570.9 Elo 1734.9

1692.3 Elo (surface) 1734.9

37 Wins (Challenger) 48

11 Wins (surface) 42

4 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.042 Dominance ratio 1.071

307 Rank 178

21.2 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Harry Wendelken

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Harry Wendelken

1st Serve In %

76.7%

54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

87.9%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

70.0%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

77.3%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

56.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Harry Wendelken

Break Points Saved %

—

68.0%

Break Points Converted %

80.0%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filippo Romano and Harry Wendelken have never played each other.

Filippo Romano vs Harry Wendelken — Prediction