ATP tennis predict — Filippo Romano vs Dominik Recek

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Filippo Romano

Italy

85.40%

Dominik Recek

Czech Republic

14.60%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.56

Market probability

73.86% / 26.14%

Why This Prediction?

Filippo Romano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1588 vs 1396), more career match wins (35 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1478 vs 1393).

Player Comparison

1588.0 Elo 1396.3

1477.5 Elo (surface) 1393.4

35 Wins (Challenger) 2

16 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.012 Dominance ratio 0.978

300 Rank 853

21.1 Age 31.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Dominik Recek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Dominik Recek

1st Serve In %

76.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

87.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

70.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

77.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.5%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Romano Dominik Recek

Break Points Saved %

—

Break Points Converted %

80.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.4%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.9%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filippo Romano 0 – 0 Dominik Recek

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Dominik Recek #853

Filippo Romano #300

7-6 7-6

0 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 3

84 Service Points 81

51 First Serve In 49

31 First Serve Won 34

21 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.6 Average Odds 1.3

Filippo Romano vs Dominik Recek — Prediction