ATP tennis predict — Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Filippo Moroni

Italy

42.89%

Ignacio Parisca

Venezuela

57.11%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.83

Market probability

49.73% / 50.27%

Why This Prediction?

Ignacio Parisca is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (7 vs 6), more aces per game (0.12 vs 0.08) and more career match wins (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1548.3 Elo 1520.5

1580.2 Elo (surface) 1510.4

13 Wins (Challenger) 7

6 Wins (surface) 7

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.157 Dominance ratio 0.882

864 Rank 659

25.7 Age 21.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filippo Moroni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-27.

Ignacio Parisca

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Moroni Ignacio Parisca

1st Serve In %

66.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.3%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

41.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.8%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.6%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Moroni Ignacio Parisca

Break Points Saved %

40.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

43.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filippo Moroni and Ignacio Parisca have never played each other.

Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca — Prediction