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Filippo Moroni vs Fabrizio Andaloro — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Filippo Moroni

Italy

66.96%

Fabrizio Andaloro

Italy

33.04%

Average Odds

1.85  /  1.85

Market probability

50.00%  /  50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Filippo Moroni is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1608 vs 1360), a stronger return game (48.4% vs 37.2% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1553 vs 1479).

Player Comparison

1552.8 Elo 1478.7
1607.7 Elo (surface) 1360.2
12 Wins (Challenger) 19
5 Wins (surface) 2
9 Last 15 form 6
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.157 Dominance ratio 0.890
864 Rank 523
25.6 Age 25.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filippo Moroni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-27.

Fabrizio Andaloro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Moroni Fabrizio Andaloro

1st Serve In %

66.0%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.3%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.8%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.44
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%
59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%
64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%
45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.5%
32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.2%
48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filippo Moroni Fabrizio Andaloro

Break Points Saved %

40.0%
—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%
59.4%

Break Points Converted %

54.5%
43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filippo Moroni 1 – 0 Fabrizio Andaloro

Hard Hersonissos 4 CH · 2025-08-18
3 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 6
52 Service Points 55
28 First Serve In 26
21 First Serve Won 14
12 Second Serve Won 13
0 Break Points Saved 0
3 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Filippo Moroni — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L W

Fabrizio Andaloro — Last 10

W L W W L L L L W L