ATP tennis predict — Filip Pieczonka vs Mykyta Mashtakov

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:00

Predicted probability

Filip Pieczonka

Poland

59.48%

Mykyta Mashtakov

Ukraine

40.52%

Average Odds

1.77 / 1.93

Market probability

52.16% / 47.84%

Why This Prediction?

Filip Pieczonka is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country and more career match wins (13 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1545.3 Elo 1553.6

1542.0 Elo (surface) 1545.7

13 Wins (Challenger) 7

7 Wins (surface) 7

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.904 Dominance ratio 0.947

1207 Rank 576

22.4 Age 27.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Pieczonka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Mykyta Mashtakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Mykyta Mashtakov

1st Serve In %

—

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

51.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

36.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Mykyta Mashtakov

Break Points Saved %

—

46.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Pieczonka 0 – 0 Mykyta Mashtakov

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Filip Pieczonka #1112

Mykyta Mashtakov #532

6-3 6-2

1 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

17 First Serve Won 18

13 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Filip Pieczonka vs Mykyta Mashtakov — Prediction