ATP tennis predict — Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Filip Pieczonka

Poland

28.77%

Marco Trungelliti

Argentina

71.23%

Average Odds

4.34 / 1.19

Market probability

21.52% / 78.48%

Why This Prediction?

Marco Trungelliti is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1793 vs 1612), a higher Elo rating (1803 vs 1604) and more wins on clay courts (241 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1603.5 Elo 1802.9

1612.4 Elo (surface) 1793.0

15 Wins (Challenger) 296

9 Wins (surface) 241

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.904 Dominance ratio 1.325

1112 Rank 99

22.4 Age 36.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Pieczonka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Marco Trungelliti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Marco Trungelliti

1st Serve In %

—

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

66.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

38.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Marco Trungelliti

Break Points Saved %

—

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Pieczonka 0 – 0 Marco Trungelliti

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Marco Trungelliti #99

Filip Pieczonka #1112

6-7 7-5 6-4

6 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

41 First Serve Won 53

22 Second Serve Won 19

2 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.3

Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti — Prediction