ATP tennis predict — Filip Pieczonka vs Harold Mayot

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Filip Pieczonka

Poland

20.13%

Harold Mayot

France

79.87%

Average Odds

5.59 / 1.12

Market probability

16.69% / 83.31%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1660 vs 1488), a higher Elo rating (1634 vs 1462) and more wins on hard courts (82 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1462.2 Elo 1634.1

1487.9 Elo (surface) 1660.1

12 Wins (Challenger) 129

6 Wins (surface) 82

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.844 Dominance ratio 1.303

1061 Rank 255

22.3 Age 24.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Pieczonka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Harold Mayot

1st Serve In %

—

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

76.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

68.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Harold Mayot

Break Points Saved %

—

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

67.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Pieczonka 0 – 0 Harold Mayot

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Harold Mayot #255

Filip Pieczonka #1061

6-2 6-2

10 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 3

51 Service Points 61

32 First Serve In 40

22 First Serve Won 30

6 Second Serve Won 10

8 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.6

Filip Pieczonka vs Harold Mayot — Prediction