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Filip Pieczonka vs Adrian Oetzbach — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Filip Pieczonka

Poland

74.55%

Adrian Oetzbach

Germany

25.45%

Average Odds

1.43  /  2.64

Market probability

64.86%  /  35.14%

Why This Prediction?

Filip Pieczonka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1590 vs 1401), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1594 vs 1409) and more wins on clay courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1589.6 Elo 1400.5
1594.0 Elo (surface) 1408.8
15 Wins (Challenger) 14
9 Wins (surface) 12
6 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.904 Dominance ratio 0.817
902 Rank 551
22.5 Age 28.9
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Pieczonka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Adrian Oetzbach

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.4%
64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%
66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%
44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%
50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Pieczonka Adrian Oetzbach

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
45.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%
41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Pieczonka and Adrian Oetzbach have never played each other.

Filip Pieczonka — Last 10

L W W W L L L W W W

Adrian Oetzbach — Last 10

L W L L L L L W W L