ATP tennis predict — Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan Ziegann

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:10

Predicted probability

Filip Peliwo

Poland

62.03%

Sam Ryan Ziegann

Australia

37.97%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.37

Market probability

60.77% / 39.23%

Why This Prediction?

Filip Peliwo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1481 vs 1438), more wins on hard courts (104 vs 4) and more career match wins (118 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1481.2 Elo 1437.8

1450.0 Elo (surface) 1474.1

118 Wins (Challenger) 4

104 Wins (surface) 4

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.110 Dominance ratio 0.808

560 Rank 820

32.6 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Sam Ryan Ziegann

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Peliwo Sam Ryan Ziegann

1st Serve In %

55.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Peliwo Sam Ryan Ziegann

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.7%

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.0%

31.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Peliwo 0 – 0 Sam Ryan Ziegann

Hard Phan Thiet 4 challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Filip Peliwo #648

Sam Ryan Ziegann #851

6-1 6-4

3 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

14 First Serve Won 16

14 Second Serve Won 12

5 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan Ziegann — Prediction