ATP tennis predict — Filip Peliwo vs Kenta Miyoshi

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · R16 04:40

Predicted probability

Filip Peliwo

Poland

19.88%

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

80.12%

Average Odds

6.28 / 1.10

Market probability

14.91% / 85.09%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1678 vs 1424), a higher Elo rating (1682 vs 1460) and a stronger serve (67.0% vs 64.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1459.9 Elo 1682.4

1423.8 Elo (surface) 1678.5

116 Wins (Challenger) 32

102 Wins (surface) 32

4 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.110 Dominance ratio 1.140

560 Rank -

32.6 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Peliwo Kenta Miyoshi

1st Serve In %

55.7%

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.6%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.2%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Peliwo Kenta Miyoshi

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.7%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.0%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Peliwo 0 – 0 Kenta Miyoshi

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Filip Peliwo #560

Kenta Miyoshi #-

7-6 6-3

7 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

26 First Serve Won 33

12 Second Serve Won 21

1 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

6.3 Average Odds 1.1

Filip Peliwo vs Kenta Miyoshi — Prediction