ATP tennis predict — Filip Misolic vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Filip Misolic

Austria

72.11%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Ukraine

27.89%

Average Odds

1.32 / 3.03

Market probability

69.66% / 30.34%

Why This Prediction?

Filip Misolic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1849 vs 1600), a higher Elo rating (1688 vs 1571) and more wins on clay courts (34 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1688.0 Elo 1570.7

1848.9 Elo (surface) 1599.5

93 Wins (Challenger) 19

75 Wins (surface) 14

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.965 Dominance ratio 1.210

476 Rank 615

25.1 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Misolic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Misolic Oleksandr Ovcharenko

1st Serve In %

60.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.36

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Misolic Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

32.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.9%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Misolic and Oleksandr Ovcharenko have never played each other.

Filip Misolic vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko — Prediction