ATP tennis predict — Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Filip Misolic

Austria

21.14%

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

78.86%

Average Odds

9.72 / 1.06

Market probability

9.83% / 90.17%

Why This Prediction?

Francisco Cerundolo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1727 vs 1482), a higher Elo rating (1865 vs 1717) and a stronger serve (64.6% vs 60.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1716.6 Elo 1865.5

1482.0 Elo (surface) 1726.9

52 Wins 187

15 Wins (surface) 65

4 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 2

0.823 Dominance ratio 0.840

537 Rank 25

25.1 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Filip Misolic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Francisco Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Misolic Francisco Cerundolo

1st Serve In %

60.1%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.0%

69.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Filip Misolic Francisco Cerundolo

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

32.8%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.9%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

47.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Filip Misolic 0 – 2 Francisco Cerundolo

Hard US Open · 2026-09-01

1. round

Francisco Cerundolo #25

Filip Misolic #537

6-4 6-3 7-5

1 Aces 6

9 Double Faults 10

104 Service Points 88

44 First Serve In 45

28 First Serve Won 33

24 Second Serve Won 22

6 Break Points Saved 8

14 Break Points Faced 12

15 Winners 28

42 Unforced Errors 42

1.1 Average Odds 9.7

Clay Roland Garros · 2024-05-27

R64

Francisco Cerundolo #27

Filip Misolic #243

6-2 7-6(2) 6-0

4 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

76 Service Points 103

41 First Serve In 55

33 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Vienna · 2022-10-24

R32

Francisco Cerundolo #29

Filip Misolic #150

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 4

48 Service Points 50

22 First Serve In 28

19 First Serve Won 18

18 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 4