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Felix Gill vs Sebastian Ofner — Prediction

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · 1. round 18:00

Predicted probability

Felix Gill

Great Britain

41.25%

Sebastian Ofner

Austria

58.75%

Average Odds

1.78  /  1.92

Market probability

51.89%  /  48.11%

Why This Prediction?

Sebastian Ofner is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1639 vs 1562), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1686 vs 1593) and more wins on clay courts (51 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1561.8 Elo 1639.0
1592.8 Elo (surface) 1685.8
53 Wins (Challenger) 182
36 Wins (surface) 97
7 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.989 Dominance ratio 0.999
214 Rank 125
24.3 Age 30.3
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Sebastian Ofner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Sebastian Ofner

1st Serve In %

64.4%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%
45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%
25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%
50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%
56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%
69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%
31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%
40.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Sebastian Ofner

Break Points Saved %

62.5%
62.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%
55.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%
34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felix Gill 00 Sebastian Ofner

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-08
6-4 6-2
2 Aces 7
2 Double Faults 2
60 Service Points 52
32 First Serve In 34
22 First Serve Won 29
11 Second Serve Won 10
3 Break Points Saved 2
6 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Felix Gill — Last 10

W L W W L L L W L L

Sebastian Ofner — Last 10

L W W L L L L L L L