ATP tennis predict — Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Felix Gill

Great Britain

44.01%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

55.99%

Average Odds

2.04 / 1.54

Market probability

43.02% / 56.98%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Pinnington Jones is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1638 vs 1569), more wins on hard courts (5 vs 0) and a better head-to-head record against Felix Gill (1-0).

Player Comparison

1568.5 Elo 1638.1

1613.7 Elo (surface) 1513.3

52 Wins (Challenger) 51

10 Wins (surface) 33

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.918 Dominance ratio 0.830

218 Rank 172

24.2 Age 23.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Jack Pinnington Jones

1st Serve In %

64.4%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Jack Pinnington Jones

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

40.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felix Gill 0 – 1 Jack Pinnington Jones

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-14

R16

Jack Pinnington Jones #172

Felix Gill #218

6-2 2-0

0 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

28 Service Points 34

19 First Serve In 20

10 First Serve Won 13

1 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.0

Grass Nottingham CH · 2024-06-10

Q2

Jack Pinnington Jones #773

Felix Gill #308

6-2 6-2

10 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

47 Service Points 40

32 First Serve In 27

26 First Serve Won 12

9 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Prediction