ATP tennis predict — Felix Gill vs Colton Smith

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 00:35

Predicted probability

Felix Gill

Great Britain

36.51%

Colton Smith

USA

63.49%

Average Odds

2.42 / 1.52

Market probability

38.58% / 61.42%

Why This Prediction?

Colton Smith is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1688 vs 1569), the advantage of playing in his home country and more wins on hard courts (9 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1568.5 Elo 1688.2

1613.7 Elo (surface) 1566.6

52 Wins (Challenger) 48

10 Wins (surface) 37

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.918 Dominance ratio 0.998

218 Rank 197

24.2 Age 23.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Colton Smith

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Colton Smith

1st Serve In %

64.4%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

34.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Colton Smith

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felix Gill 0 – 0 Colton Smith

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-13

1. round

Felix Gill #218

Colton Smith #197

7-5 5-7 6-2

11 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 3

104 Service Points 102

68 First Serve In 68

40 First Serve Won 44

21 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Felix Gill vs Colton Smith — Prediction