ATP tennis predict — Felix Gill vs Alexander Vasilev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Felix Gill

Great Britain

55.17%

Alexander Vasilev

Bulgaria

44.83%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.83

Market probability

75.69% / 24.31%

Why This Prediction?

Felix Gill is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1631 vs 1503), a higher Elo rating (1643 vs 1515) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.29).

Player Comparison

1643.0 Elo 1514.6

1631.4 Elo (surface) 1502.9

55 Wins (Challenger) 7

38 Wins (surface) 6

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.985 Dominance ratio 1.001

211 Rank 609

24.3 Age 19.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felix Gill

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Alexander Vasilev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Alexander Vasilev

1st Serve In %

64.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.1%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.58

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Gill Alexander Vasilev

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

51.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felix Gill 0 – 0 Alexander Vasilev

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Felix Gill #211

Alexander Vasilev #609

6-1 6-0

0 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

20 First Serve Won 11

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Felix Gill vs Alexander Vasilev — Prediction