ATP tennis predict — Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorzny

ATP Hard Winston Salem · qualification - quarterfinal 19:00

Predicted probability

Felix Balshaw

France

49.17%

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

50.83%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.44

Market probability

61.93% / 38.07%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1638.6 Elo 1643.9

1539.1 Elo (surface) 1657.1

1 Wins 1

1 Wins (surface) 1

1 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.268 Dominance ratio 1.041

254 Rank 782

20.2 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felix Balshaw

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Sebastian Gorzny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Balshaw Sebastian Gorzny

1st Serve In %

53.3%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.7%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.0%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

58.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Balshaw Sebastian Gorzny

Break Points Saved %

72.7%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felix Balshaw 0 – 0 Sebastian Gorzny

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-23

qualification - quarterfinal

Felix Balshaw #254

Sebastian Gorzny #782

4-6 6-4 6-3

7 Aces 4

10 Double Faults 8

108 Service Points 94

59 First Serve In 59

44 First Serve Won 38

23 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorzny — Prediction