ATP tennis predict — Felix Balshaw vs Luca Pow

ATP Hard Winston Salem · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Felix Balshaw

France

85.84%

Luca Pow

Great Britain

14.16%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.63

Market probability

74.85% / 25.15%

Why This Prediction?

Felix Balshaw is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1629 vs 1351), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1512 vs 1397) and more career match wins (19 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1628.7 Elo 1350.6

1512.3 Elo (surface) 1396.8

0 Wins 0

0 Wins (surface) 0

0 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.366 Dominance ratio 0.366

254 Rank 986

20.2 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felix Balshaw

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Luca Pow

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Balshaw Luca Pow

1st Serve In %

53.3%

57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.7%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

15.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.0%

28.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

45.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Balshaw Luca Pow

Break Points Saved %

72.7%

43.3%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felix Balshaw 0 – 0 Luca Pow

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-22

qualification - round of 16

Felix Balshaw #254

Luca Pow #986

7-5 6-3

8 Aces 2

6 Double Faults 3

70 Service Points 69

35 First Serve In 41

27 First Serve Won 26

23 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.6

Felix Balshaw vs Luca Pow — Prediction