ATP tennis predict — Felix Balshaw vs Daniel Milavsky

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Felix Balshaw

France

59.01%

Daniel Milavsky

USA

40.99%

Average Odds

2.13 / 1.66

Market probability

43.80% / 56.20%

Why This Prediction?

Felix Balshaw is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1697 vs 1641), a stronger return game (43.4% vs 36.9% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1586 vs 1571).

Player Comparison

1697.2 Elo 1640.9

1586.1 Elo (surface) 1571.4

19 Wins (Challenger) 29

6 Wins (surface) 24

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.136 Dominance ratio 0.925

248 Rank 306

20.2 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felix Balshaw

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Balshaw Daniel Milavsky

1st Serve In %

53.3%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.7%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.0%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.6%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felix Balshaw Daniel Milavsky

Break Points Saved %

72.7%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.2%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.2%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felix Balshaw 0 – 0 Daniel Milavsky

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Daniel Milavsky #306

Felix Balshaw #248

5-7 7-5 7-6

9 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 3

125 Service Points 109

51 First Serve In 71

37 First Serve Won 48

33 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Felix Balshaw vs Daniel Milavsky — Prediction