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Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate — Prediction

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Carlos Maria Zarate

Argentina

27.60%

Average Odds

1.35  /  2.91

Market probability

68.31%  /  31.69%

Why This Prediction?

Felipe Meligeni Alves is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1460), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1687 vs 1480) and more wins on clay courts (144 vs 18).

Player Comparison

1651.7 Elo 1459.9
1686.7 Elo (surface) 1479.8
152 Wins (Challenger) 19
144 Wins (surface) 18
10 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.865 Dominance ratio 1.020
463 Rank 347
28.6 Age 21.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Carlos Maria Zarate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felipe Meligeni Alves Carlos Maria Zarate

1st Serve In %

67.7%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.2%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.38
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%
60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%
51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%
35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%
48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.61
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Felipe Meligeni Alves Carlos Maria Zarate

Break Points Saved %

65.7%
—

Break Points Converted %

30.1%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%
61.8%

Break Points Converted %

29.5%
43.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Felipe Meligeni Alves and Carlos Maria Zarate have never played each other.

Felipe Meligeni Alves — Last 10

L L L L W W L W W W

Carlos Maria Zarate — Last 10

L L L W W L L L W W